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SMD is forecasting an above consensus High Net New Jobs of 232,000 in tomorrow's BLS release

  • Larry Green, CFA
  • Mar 7, 2019
  • 1 min read

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus high (200,000) forecast of 232,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for February, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate to stay flat at 4%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up .2%.

Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectation for their company's future employment, and therefore their company's expected growth. When rolled up to a macro level, we believe this gives a near real time look at job growth for the entire US economy.

 
 
 

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